Sunday, April 26, 2009

No Need to Over-React to Swine Flu!

The global panic reaction to the swine flu spreading in Mexico is unwarranted. People should not over-react. I did over-react myself as I myself did rush to buy some surgical masks for me and my family, just in case I will need them and they run out. But rationality took over me over the weekend and I now believe this will be a non-event. Let me explain:

  1. It is NOT flu season. It's late spring and early summer in the Northern hemisphere. There are good reasons that flu does not spread during the summer time. Of course, the southern hemisphere may need to worry about this swine flu outbreak a bit more than we do. But so far no case is discovered in the southern hemisphere.
  2. If this swine flu is a bad one, it's already too late to contain and it should already spread widely globally. But so far the spread is very limited. Even in Mexico, most of the cases are confined in Mexico City. There are so far only 1600 cases out of a population of 20 million. The US so far has only 20 cases, all very mild. Again now is simply not the flu season.
  3. Death rate seems to be high in Mexico city, 80+ deaths out of 1600 cases. But it could be due to the fact that now is not flu season and it is not easy for the flu to spread. The individuals catching the flu must be in poor health conditions to start with. So it is not surprising that those weak enough to catch the flu in a non-flu season could also die easily.

Let's all use some good sanitary practices: avoid shaking hands; wash hands frequently; stay at home if you are sick, etc. But let's do not panic un-necessarily. Remember that flu kills due the the over-reaction of one's immune system.

Full Disclosure: The author has neither a long position nor a short position in the swine flu.

19 comments:

Greg Atkinson said...

Yes I think there has been quite an over reaction to the latest flu outbreak. However the markets seem to reacted pretty calmly...this seems to me to be a positive sign as maybe investors are less easily spooked these days?

Anonymous said...

[url=http://vegasonlines.net/last-casino.html]casino in vegas wynn [/url]
[url=http://vegasonlines.net/cannery-casino.html]oranjestad cabana all suite beach resort casino [/url]
[url=http://vegasonlines.net/internet-casino-com.html]casino logo [/url]
[url=http://vegasonlines.net/casino-biloxi-ms.html]venetian casino in vegas [/url]
[url=http://vegasonlines.net/trump-casino-01qq.html]caesars palace casino [/url]
[url=http://vegasonlines.net/real-estate-casino.html]casino et bonus [/url]
[url=http://vegasonlines.net/no-deposit-casino-coupon-codes.html]paradise beach club y casino [/url]
[url=http://vegasonlines.net/aruba-beach-resort-and-casino.html]casino puerto madero [/url]
[url=http://vegasonlines.net/pechanga-casino-california.html]tropicana casino and resort [/url]
[url=http://vegasonlines.net/new-online-casino-bonus.html]fallsview casino niagara fall [/url]
[url=http://antonietasofia.com/members/casino_2D00_gamblings_2D00_online.aspx]atlantic city casino locations [/url]
[url=http://vegasonlines.net/horseshoe-casino.html]casino forum [/url]
[url=http://vegasonlines.net/casino-morongo-resort.html]banca quiniela casino estado [/url]
[url=http://vegasonlines.net/mystic-lake-casino-prior-lake.html]casino de la policia nacional [/url]
[url=http://vegasonlines.net/scifi-casino-no-deposit.html]letra de la cancion de casino [/url]
luxor casino vegas nv
[b]custom casino chip[/b]
vote best casino
casino apuesta deporte
[b]apuesta casino virtual[/b]
tragamonedas casinos
[u]nodeposit casino bonus[/u]
trabajo casino aranjuez
casino com gambling internet online
[b]jugar casino sin descarga sin apostar dinero[/b]
fin de ano en gran casino
concentracion tuning casinos 2006

Anonymous said...

[url=http://seghan.ru/go.php?sid=35][img]http://s003.radikal.ru/i203/1001/17/1008f12c7936.jpg[/img][/url]












[url=http://utenti.multimania.it/peexcal/]buy cigarettes by the pack [/url]
law on buying cigarettes buy overseas cigarettes buy cigarettes with paypal
[url=http://utenti.multimania.it/haisjzu/]buy cigarette tobacco [/url]
where to buy cigarettes in perth discount buy cigarettes paypal buy cigarettes in europe
[url=http://utenti.multimania.it/pxioeei/]buy newport cigarette [/url]
buy cheap cigarette store buy cigarette to resell to buy marlboro cigarettes
[url=http://utenti.multimania.it/xbftjof/]cigarettes to buy on line [/url]
buying kentucky best cigarettes buying clove cigarette cigarette bulk buy
[url=http://utenti.multimania.it/faoozxa/]buy 305 cigarettes [/url]
nicotine free cigarettes buy where to buy aeros smokeless cigarettes cigarette tax mail order pa
[url=http://members.multimania.nl/weljgzi/]will smokers buy price value cigarettes [/url]
buy cigarettes new buy cigarettes internet can buy cigarettes
[url=http://members.multimania.nl/sisebku/]buy native cigarettes [/url]
buy cigarette packs discount cigarette store buy discount cigarettes order cigarettes online us

Anonymous said...

scum strip search scene
big tits at work gallery
moms fucking big dicks
bbw brunnette lesbian
suck me baby one more time


[URL=http://madsextapes.servik.com/index.html]fucking whore[/URL]
[URL=http://madsextapes.servik.com/sitemap.html]get fucking whore[/URL]

[URL=http://madsextapes.servik.com/chick-culture.html]chick culture[/URL]
[URL=http://madsextapes.servik.com/ggw-teen-masturbates.html]ggw teen masturbates[/URL]
[URL=http://madsextapes.servik.com/teens-first-orgasm.html]teens first orgasm[/URL]
[URL=http://madsextapes.servik.com/latina-babes-in-bed.html]latina babes in bed[/URL]
[URL=http://madsextapes.servik.com/shemale-pornstars-tattoos.html]shemale pornstars tattoos[/URL]
[URL=http://madsextapes.servik.com/milf-natural-thumb-video.html]milf natural thumb video[/URL]
[URL=http://madsextapes.servik.com/big-tits-at-school-rachel.html]big tits at school rachel[/URL]
[URL=http://madsextapes.servik.com/enormus-clits.html]enormus clits[/URL]
[URL=http://madsextapes.servik.com/blonde-news-woman-strips.html]blonde news woman strips[/URL]
[URL=http://madsextapes.servik.com/big-tit-milf-mature-amatuer-pics.html]big tit milf mature amatuer pics[/URL]

buy viagra said...

I think that it is so important and cool, I would like to get more information about the Swine flu!!! it is one of the most dangerous diseases!!!22dd

xlpharmacy said...

I don't know why people over reacted. There were some people that they thought that I was the end of the world.

Anonymous said...

I establish best place [url=http://www.brandgenericdrugs-pillstabletsshipping.com/?info=xenical&offer=304]xenical[/url] i exhort

Anonymous said...

parenting dating teens http://loveepicentre.com/faq.php dating someone new

Anonymous said...

youtubed recoriding software http://buysoftwareonline.co.uk/de/category-13/Musik-Software best computer stress test software [url=http://buysoftwareonline.co.uk/category-100-110/Internet?page=5]open source software ai files[/url] get software people pc
[url=http://buysoftwareonline.co.uk/it/category-200-208/Herramientas-de-la-Oficina]Herramientas de la Oficina - Cheap Legal OEM Software, Software Sale, Download OEM[/url] slug test software
[url=http://buysoftwareonline.co.uk/product-31439/Windows-XP-Professional-SP3-x86-32bit-German][img]http://buyoem.co.uk/image/1.gif[/img][/url]

Anonymous said...

world savings bank software http://buysoftwareonline.co.uk/fr/product-37213/MetaProducts-Picture-Downloader-1-1-Multilingual tax forms with software [url=http://buysoftwareonline.co.uk/es/manufacturer-4/Symantec]seo software engine promotion search strategy[/url] wikepedia iphone software updates
[url=http://buysoftwareonline.co.uk/es/news-39/Windows-8-Ready-in-2012]Windows 8: Ready in 2012? - Cheap Legal OEM Software, Software Sale, Download OEM[/url] best freeware cd burner software
[url=http://buysoftwareonline.co.uk/product-31616/ITubeX-Ultimate-6-0-MAC][img]http://buyoem.co.uk/image/1.gif[/img][/url]

Anonymous said...

[url=http://onlinemedistore.com/products/bystolic.htm][img]http://onlinemedistore.com/6.jpg[/img][/url]
washington pharmacy law for dummies http://onlinemedistore.com/products/digoxin.htm pharmacy grand rounds topic [url=http://onlinemedistore.com/products/parlodel.htm]lloyds pharmacy uk[/url]
bartells pharmacy http://onlinemedistore.com/products/zetia.htm common medication treatments for anorexia pharmacy [url=http://onlinemedistore.com/products/cefixime.htm]cefixime[/url]
wallgreens pharmacy yukon oklahoma http://onlinemedistore.com/products/septilin.htm pharmacy ground glass bottle [url=http://onlinemedistore.com/products/ed-discount-pack-2.htm]pharmacy technician training programs cvs[/url]
pharmacy medication tray list for code cart http://onlinemedistore.com/products/yasmin.htm pharmacy in springfield ohio [url=http://onlinemedistore.com/products/plendil.htm]plendil[/url]

Anonymous said...

[url=http://redbrickstore.co.uk/products/retin-a-0-02-.htm][img]http://onlinemedistore.com/9.jpg[/img][/url]
the pharmacy channel http://redbrickstore.co.uk/products/ponstel.htm pharmacy news colorado [url=http://redbrickstore.co.uk/products/triphala.htm]online pharmacy busted[/url]
pharmacy graduation quotes http://redbrickstore.co.uk/products/effexor-xr.htm smeetas pharmacy [url=http://redbrickstore.co.uk/products/amaryl.htm]amaryl[/url]
ohio state board of pharmacy http://redbrickstore.co.uk/products/rogaine-5-.htm purchase pravachol pharmacy online [url=http://redbrickstore.co.uk/products/revia.htm]university of kentuck pharmacy[/url]
cambridge road pharmacy application seaforth http://redbrickstore.co.uk/catalogue/a.htm canadian direct pharmacy [url=http://redbrickstore.co.uk/products/calan.htm]calan[/url]

Anonymous said...

[url=http://redbrickstore.co.uk/products/oxytrol.htm][img]http://onlinemedistore.com/10.jpg[/img][/url]
legal ambien us pharmacy http://redbrickstore.co.uk/categories/sleeping-aid.htm free pharmacy books [url=http://redbrickstore.co.uk/products/benicar.htm]pharmacy programs[/url]
langley air force base pharmacy http://redbrickstore.co.uk/products/bactroban.htm cvs pharmacy san antonio tx [url=http://redbrickstore.co.uk/products/lozol.htm]lozol[/url]
nelson pharmacy illinois http://redbrickstore.co.uk/products/dostinex.htm canada online pharmacy viagra [url=http://redbrickstore.co.uk/products/celebrex.htm]geriatric pharmacy[/url]
coupon code press registers pharmacy http://redbrickstore.co.uk/categories/cardiovascular.htm pharmacy errors in hospitals [url=http://redbrickstore.co.uk/products/viramune.htm]viramune[/url]

QUALITY STOCKS UNDER 5 DOLLARS said...

Excellent post

Anonymous said...

[url=http://certifiedpharmacy.co.uk/products/eurax.htm][img]http://onlinemedistore.com/3.jpg[/img][/url]
rite aid pharmacy hours http://certifiedpharmacy.co.uk/categories/anti-herpes.htm archers and pharmacy and family [url=http://certifiedpharmacy.co.uk/products/bupropion.htm]pharmacy illegal shippment[/url]
pharmacy windows http://certifiedpharmacy.co.uk/products/estrace.htm rite aid pharmacy carlsbad ca [url=http://certifiedpharmacy.co.uk/products/cialis-super-active-plus.htm]cialis super active plus[/url]
central pharmacy in arkansas http://certifiedpharmacy.co.uk/products/prometrium.htm injectible human growth hormone canadian pharmacy [url=http://certifiedpharmacy.co.uk/faq.htm]department 56 foster pharmacy[/url]
boots pharmacy cork ireland http://certifiedpharmacy.co.uk/products/lioresal.htm pharmacy tech testing new york [url=http://certifiedpharmacy.co.uk/products/actos.htm]actos[/url]

Anonymous said...

[url=http://englandpharmacy.co.uk/products/horny-goat-weed.htm][img]http://onlinemedistore.com/1.jpg[/img][/url]
cvs pharmacy discount program http://englandpharmacy.co.uk/categories/pain-relief.htm usa pharmacy for butabltial online [url=http://englandpharmacy.co.uk/products/cytotec.htm]arkansas state board of pharmacy[/url]
pharmacy schools texas http://englandpharmacy.co.uk/products/abilify.htm pharmacy schools in pa [url=http://englandpharmacy.co.uk/products/kamasutra-contoured-condoms.htm]kamasutra contoured condoms[/url]
botsford hospital outpatient pharmacy http://englandpharmacy.co.uk/products/uroxatral.htm tamiflu pharmacy [url=http://englandpharmacy.co.uk/products/voltaren.htm]mexican online pharmacys[/url]
pharmacy technician certification national test http://englandpharmacy.co.uk/products/tretinoin-cream-0-05-.htm pharmacy jobs mass [url=http://englandpharmacy.co.uk/products/trental.htm]trental[/url]

Anonymous said...

male to male dating [url=http://freeinternetdating.info/dating/dame-judi-dench-dating]dame judi dench dating[/url] brian parker johnstown pa christian dating
advice letter about dating http://freeinternetdating.info/dating/danger-mouse-dating nigeria dating scam
carbon dating uses [url=http://freeinternetdating.info/romance/free-lesbian-romance-ebook]interracial dating rochester ny[/url] free dating services in phoenix arizona

Anonymous said...

i hate dating romantic caribbean break scroll boyfriend leona im dating rhonda
dating online oklahoma h johnson http://freeinternetdating.info/meet/meet-and-fuck-vacacion dating an illegal alien
jesse metcalfe dating laura whitmore speed dating wakefield the best online dating websites

Anonymous said...

biblical perspective interracial dating http://loveepicentre.com/testimonials/ 1 interracial dating site
free dating sites from malaysia [url=http://loveepicentre.com/taketour/]scotland dating[/url] body hair dating personals
dating jewelry clasps [url=http://loveepicentre.com/testimonials/]dating your spouse separated[/url] bisexual men dating in toronto ontario [url=http://loveepicentre.com/user/Thesias/]Thesias[/url] speed dating chico ca