Saturday, February 14, 2009

China and the World Drives the Commodities Boom

The Baltic Dry Index (BDI), a shipping index considered as one of the most reliable global economic indicator, has been surging up for 17 consecutive days as of Feb. 11, 09. It's not often that something just keeps going up for 17 days. The strong rally of BDI has caught a lot of attentions. However, dry bulk shipping stocks like DRYS, EXM, EGLE, GNK, TBSI and NM plummeted instead of moving with BDI. What's going on? Let me digress a bit on the big pictures before talking about specifics of shipping fundamentals.

Most people remain skeptical about the outlook of the BDI, despite of 17 days rally. Trader Mark asked "What's Really Going On". Most believe the BDI rally will be short lived. So when BDI finally dropped for two days, Bespoke Group declared "BDI rally is DEAD"!

The skeptics are wrong because they only read the news headlines but failed to study the real reasons of the BDI plummet in 2008 and strong surge back recently. They do not know the fundamental forces behind the global commodities boom and China's emergence as a major economy. The skeptics failed to predict a rebound in BDI so soon and so powerful. I correctly called the bottom and called for an imminent and powerful rebound of the BDI as well. So I am comfortable to call the skeptics wrong and predict continued surge of BDI.

Skeptics are wrong because they know what's going on in the USA, but paid little attention to the rest of the world. Chinese knew even less about the world 30 years ago. There was no TV, no telephone and you were NOT allowed to listen to foreign radio stations. Today, China has more internet surfers and cell phone users than the USA has population. Chinese teenagers are bigger fans of America's Hip Hop than American teenagers. One rich Chinese farmer bragged to live in an exact replication of the White House, down to small details. The Chinese are eager to learn everything in America and Europe, and try to imitate everything.

The internet brought easy access to information and profoundly changed China and the world. INFORMATION, not idealism, is the fundamental driving force behind the global commodities boom. China is not alone. Changes are also happening in India, Brazil, Russia, and even in the African continent. An isolated African village could remain in a primitive lifestyle indefinitely. But once they have a TV or a computer or just an outside visitor, they will learn about the outside world. They will want a better life and they will be eager to learn to acquire knowledge and work skills. They will produce something to exchange for useful products from the rest of the world. The chain reaction will leads to more developments and more demands of the world's raw materials. As I discussed before, it all started with one Chinese's visit to Texas and a cowboy hat, and now it becomes a global trend no one can stop.

INFORMATION drives the global commodities boom. The current global financial crisis, severe as it is, will NOT last as long as the Great Depression. Easy access of information allows capitals (smart money) to quickly discover and relocate to new investment opportunities.

Many Americans believe the collapse of the US economy is the end of the global economy. But we are not the whole world. The rest of the world can live on without America. The danger America faces is that the rest of the global economy can continue to boom without us, as capitals flow away from American soil to find opportunities overseas. The Obama administration's new stimulus package WILL boost demand for sure, for a while. But will it bring home capitals to generate jobs, or rather drive capitals and jobs to overseas?

President Obama: I challenged you to bring home Jim Rogers, America's best known billionaire refugee. If he comes home with his money, we have hope. If he stays in Singapore, I might as well leave, too. Please abolish FASB#157, "Mark to Market" rule immediately! There is simply no fair market value in an unhealthy, distressed and distorted market. There have been heated debate of M-to-M rule on the Bank of America (BAC) message board on Yahoo (YHOO) Finance. Abolishing "Mark to Market" is the only way to save banks.

The outlook of global shipping is bullish as China's 4 trillion yuan stimulus program is already taking effect. China's bank loans in January more than double the record set a year earlier. Steel price surged 41% from the low, indicating a booming demand again. More demand on steel means more demand on iron ore and more demand on shipping.

In recent years China's economic growth rely on growth of export to the US and Europe. But China's export remains a small percentage of its GDP. China can sustain its growth without exporting goods to the USA in exchange of US dollars. The 1.3 billion population can and will generate huge domestic consumption demand. China is pushing people to consume more.

China sells goods to the USA and then uses the dollars to buying US treasury bonds. China is basically lending money to America so we can continue to buy Chinese products. This is unsustainable and will not be sustained. Instead China should lend the money to African countries so that Africa can purchase Chinese goods and export their natural resources to China for a payback. I have been reading XinhuaNet (ChinaView) daily. This is exactly what is being discussed in China and what China is doing in Africa. Unlike the debt-laden and tapped-out US market, the African market is completely un-tapped. Africa can afford to borrow more money from China, put more money in their infrastructure building and consume more goods and services. Eventually a developed Africa can afford to pay back the debts.

The information age is narrowing the gap between people and between nations. The world doesn't even have enough commodities to satisfy the development of one China. So does the world have enough to satisfy an Africa and a South America in addition to China? The developing world is developing rapidly and looking up to a much better life standard. Does the world have enough ships to ship raw materials from Africa to China, and goods from China to Africa?

I am bearish on US dollar and US treasury bonds. I am bullish on commodities, on global shipping, and on precious metals, especially palladium. Please read my last article on palladium's fundamentals. I am heavily invested in Stillwater Mining (SWC) and North American Palladium (PAL), the only two primary palladium producers in the world. People do need to be cautious about precious metal ETFs: GLD and SLV. James Sinclair publicly questioned where GLD gets all the gold bullion. He should ask where did SLV get all the silver bars with low serial numbers (like 1,2,3). Buy physical metals, not ETFs!

Trader Mark quoted from a Lloyd's List article, which expressed skepticism that the freight rate surge could be short lived. These concerns raised must be carefully addressed:

1. Recent freight rate surge resulted from China restocking the import iron ore inventory. It will slow down as there is no evidence of increased steel demand.

Well, surely there is already strong evidences China's economy and demand on raw materials is recovering rapidly. Pay more attention to news from China!
2. Despite of a remarkable raise in percentage, the BDI at current 2000, is still far below the all time high last August at 12000.

Come on! No one expect the BDI to return to high level overnight. Nothing goes straight up or down. BDI did not fall from 12000 to 666 overnight. No one expects it to return to 12000 tomorrow. The surge from 666 to 2000 in just a few weeks is a more remarkable recovery than any one can expect. In geometric scale, the recovery is at 38% already. From 666 to 2000 is a triple. Another triple will bring it to 6000, just a leap short of 12000.
3. Huge back log of new ship orders. New ships entering service in 2009 and 2010 could expand the global dry bulk fleet by 40%, causing capacity oversupply. Refer to this article on details.

That's a good argument. But we should not take data out of context. New ships are entering service but old ships are being scrapped at the same time. During recent years of shipping boom, scrapping was almost none, as ship owners extended the services of old ships to profit from high shipping rate. Now the shipping rate has fallen, there is a sudden rush to send all the old ships to scrap yards, to bring in cash liquidity and enhance the balance sheets. In just two month, 4 million DWT tons worth of ships were sent to demolition, more than the last few years combined. Scrapping old ships is surely faster than building new ships!

Numbers from the UNCTAD review need to be taken in context. As of end of 2007, there were 10053 new ships and 495M DMT tons on the order books, including 222M DWT tons of dry bulk carriers. That was 72 times higher than it was in 2002. 72 times!!!

Global dry bulk fleet is about 600M DWT tons in size, so assuming a new ship takes 2 years to build, 222M worth of new ships will be build in two years, not counting scrapping, the increase of global fleet will be 222M/600M = 37%. That's how some analysts figured the 40% increase.

But the number is wrong! Average ship lifespan is about 20 years. So normal scrapping due to aging would remove 10% of the fleet in 2 years. The speed up scrapping of over-aged ships could remove up to 20% of the fleet in 2 years. Subtracting 20% scrapping, the increase of the global fleet is only 17% in two years even if all new orders are built.

But don't expect 222M worth of new ships in the next two years. Due to low shipping rate and lack of financing, more than 1/3 of ship orders have already been canceled. More are being canceled or delayed. Read Hellenic Shipping News, ship yards around the world are in very bad shapes. Many could go bankrupt without help.

Question: If shipyards had normal business in 2002. Now their order book is 72 times bigger than the 2002 level. That looks like an incredible booming business by any standard. Why are shipyards in bad shapes now? Even if 30%, 50% or even 90% of orders were canceled, the remaining orders would still be many times bigger than the 2002 level, not to mention the profit from cancellation fees. There are not a lot of ship builders in the world. The list easily fits on one sheet of paper. Global ship building capacity could not have increased too much from 2002 level, surely not 72 times! There is not enough space, materials, building capacity or financial backing to build 10053 ships at the same time, and deliver them within two years.

Some one must get the numbers terribly wrong. In any case, you can be rest assured that if ship builders are on the brink of bankruptcy, then we will NOT see any rush of new ships joining the global fleet in the next two years. More likely the global fleet will shrink instead.

Thus I encourage people to take advantage of recent shipping stock plummet. Buy shipping stocks like EXM, EGLE, DRYS, NM, DSX, GNK, TBSI, OCNF, SB and PRGN. I have not looked at all of them in details. But based on my study, my personal favorites are EXM, EGLE, DRYS and NM. Please do your own due diligence research.

Disclosures: The author is heavily invested in palladium producers SWC and PAL. I also hold big positions in shipping stocks EXM, EGLE, DRYS. I do not own other stocks mentioned.

226 comments:

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Anonymous said...

Perhaps the Baltic Dry Index will continue to surge, but how do you play this in the equity markets if the dry-bulk shippers aren't moving along with it? Any advice here? I have actually made some money with puts on DRYS, but have begun to cover because I think it is oversold at $3.50 a share.

admin said...

My weekly forecast - http://chartsandcoffee.blogspot.com/2009/03/sunday-night-coffee-3222009.html

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I need help to buy a good looking 2010 Chevrolet Corvette Grand Sport .
maybe someone can help to buy something like this 2010 Chevrolet Corvette Grand Sport .









Thank you

Beth Woodard .


























Beth Woodard .

Anonymous said...

Hi, hello !


my name is Beth Walton .
I want to buy a good looking 2009 Nissan 370Z Roadster .
maybe someone can help to buy something like this 2009 Nissan 370Z Roadster .









Thank you all and a nice day

Beth Walton .


























Beth Walton .

Anonymous said...

Hello !


My name is Marcia Walsh .
I want to buy a 2006 Fisker Latigo CS .
may someone can help to get something like this 2006 Fisker Latigo CS .









Thank you all

Marcia Walsh .


























Marcia Walsh .

Anonymous said...

Good day to all !


my name is Judith Cooper .
I need help to buy a good looking 2009 Chrysler 200C EV Concept .
please help to buy 2009 Chrysler 200C EV Concept .









Thank you all and a nice day

Judith Cooper .


























Judith Cooper .

Anonymous said...

Good day to all !


my name is Malcolm Wagner .
I want to buy a nice 1998 Mercedes-Benz CLK-GTR .
may someone can help to buy something like this 1998 Mercedes-Benz CLK-GTR .









Thank you all

Malcolm Wagner .


























Malcolm Wagner .

Anonymous said...

Hi to all !


my name is Elsie Hamilton .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2006 Infiniti G35 Sport Coupe .
i hope someone can help to get something like this 2006 Infiniti G35 Sport Coupe .









Thank you all and a nice day

Elsie Hamilton .


























Elsie Hamilton .

Anonymous said...

hi to all !


My name is Luis Hinton .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2002 Toyota MR2 Spyder .
please i need help to buy 2002 Toyota MR2 Spyder .









Thank you all

Luis Hinton .


























Luis Hinton .

Anonymous said...

hi !


My name is Alex May .
I need help to buy a good looking 2007 Mazda Mazdaspeed6 .
may someone can help to buy 2007 Mazda Mazdaspeed6 .









Thank you

Alex May .


























Alex May .

Anonymous said...

Good Day !


My name is Mario Fiege .
I need help to buy a 2007 Opel GTC Concept .
please i need help to get 2007 Opel GTC Concept .









Thank you all and a nice day

Mario Fiege .


























Mario Fiege .

Anonymous said...

Good day to all !


My name is Judith Cooper .
I want to buy a nice 2004 TVR Sagaris .
may someone can help to buy something like this 2004 TVR Sagaris .









Thank you all and a nice day

Judith Cooper .


























Judith Cooper .

Anonymous said...

good day !


My name is Kristine Dougherty .
I want to buy a nice 2007 Lotus Sport Exige Cup .
please i need help to get such a 2007 Lotus Sport Exige Cup .









Thank you all and a nice day

Kristine Dougherty .


























Kristine Dougherty .

Anonymous said...

Hi to all !


My name is Sara Lucas .
I need help to buy a good looking 2011 McLaren MP4-12C .
maybe someone can help to buy 2011 McLaren MP4-12C .









Thank you and a nice day

Sara Lucas .


























Sara Lucas .

Anonymous said...

Hello !


my name is Hazel Bender .
I want to buy a nice 2006 Land Rover Arden Range Rover Sport AR6 .
please i need help to buy such a 2006 Land Rover Arden Range Rover Sport AR6 .









Thanx a lot

Hazel Bender .


























Hazel Bender .

Anonymous said...

Hi, hello to all !


my name is Marian Solomon .
I want to buy a nice 2008 Porsche 911 GT2 .
please help to buy such a 2008 Porsche 911 GT2 .









Thank you

Marian Solomon .


























Marian Solomon .

Anonymous said...

Hello !


my name is Jason Cross .
I need help to buy a nice good looking BMW Concept Gran Coupé .
may someone can help to buy something like this BMW Concept Gran Coupé .









Thank you

Jason Cross .


























Jason Cross .

Anonymous said...

Good Day !


My name is Wesley Teague .
I want to buy a nice 2006 Chevrolet Corvette Z06 by GeigerCars .
maybe someone can help to buy such a 2006 Chevrolet Corvette Z06 by GeigerCars .









Thanx a lot

Wesley Teague .


























Wesley Teague .

Anonymous said...

Hello !


My name is Vickie Watkins .
I want to buy a 2006 Porsche Rinspeed Cayman Imola .
perhaps someone can help to buy something like this 2006 Porsche Rinspeed Cayman Imola .









Thank you

Vickie Watkins .


























Vickie Watkins .

Anonymous said...

Hi, hello !


my name is Vickie Watkins .
I need help to buy a good looking 2009 Audi S4 .
i hope someone can help to get such a 2009 Audi S4 .









Thank you

Vickie Watkins .


























Vickie Watkins .

Anonymous said...

Hi, hello !


My name is Curtis Love .
I want to buy a 2008 BMW 650i Coupe .
may someone can help to get something like this 2008 BMW 650i Coupe .









Thank you all

Curtis Love .


























Curtis Love .

Anonymous said...

good day !


My name is Don Sharpe .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2004 Dodge Ram SRT-10 .
i hope someone can help to buy something like this 2004 Dodge Ram SRT-10 .









Thank you

Don Sharpe .


























Don Sharpe .

Anonymous said...

Hi !


My name is Frederick Baker .
I need help to buy a 2007 Opel Corsa OPC .
please i need help to buy 2007 Opel Corsa OPC .









Thank you all and a nice day

Frederick Baker .


























Frederick Baker .

Anonymous said...

good day !


my name is Brandon James .
I want to buy a 2009 Ford Focus RS .
perhaps someone can help to buy such a 2009 Ford Focus RS .









Thank you all and a nice day

Brandon James .


























Brandon James .

Anonymous said...

hi !


My name is Gretchen Hill .
I need help to buy a 2010 Porsche 911 GT3 .
perhaps someone can help to get such a 2010 Porsche 911 GT3 .









Thank you

Gretchen Hill .


























Gretchen Hill .

Anonymous said...

Hi, hello to all !


My name is Frederick Baker .
I need help to buy a good looking 2008 Porsche Cayenne Turbo .
please i need help to get such a 2008 Porsche Cayenne Turbo .









Thank you, just have a nice day

Frederick Baker .


























Frederick Baker .

Anonymous said...

Good Day !


My name is Stacy Olsen .
I want to buy a nice Porsche RS Spyder LMP2 Race Car .
i hope someone can help to get Porsche RS Spyder LMP2 Race Car .









Thank you all

Stacy Olsen .


























Stacy Olsen .

Anonymous said...

hello !


my name is Stephanie Hawkins .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2009 Mercedes-Benz SL63 AMG Edition IWC .
please i need help to buy such a 2009 Mercedes-Benz SL63 AMG Edition IWC .









Thank you

Stephanie Hawkins .


























Stephanie Hawkins .

Anonymous said...

Good Day !


My name is Luis Hinton .
I need help to buy a good looking 2004 TVR Sagaris .
may someone can help to get such a 2004 TVR Sagaris .









Thanx a lot

Luis Hinton .


























Luis Hinton .

Anonymous said...

Hi !


My name is Jennifer Christian .
I want to buy a good looking 2007 Bentley Azure .
i hope someone can help to buy such a 2007 Bentley Azure .









Thank you all

Jennifer Christian .


























Jennifer Christian .

Anonymous said...

Good day to all !


my name is Gary Parks .
I need help to buy a 2004 Lamborghini Murcielago R-GT .
i hope someone can help to get something like this 2004 Lamborghini Murcielago R-GT .









Thanx a lot

Gary Parks .


























Gary Parks .

Anonymous said...

Hi to all !


my name is Glenda Morgan .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2004 Renault Fluence Concept .
please help to buy such a 2004 Renault Fluence Concept .









Thank you, just have a nice day

Glenda Morgan .


























Glenda Morgan .

Anonymous said...

hi, hello !


My name is Hazel Bender .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2007 Land Rover Range Rover Supercharged .
maybe someone can help to get something like this 2007 Land Rover Range Rover Supercharged .









Thanx a lot

Hazel Bender .


























Hazel Bender .

Anonymous said...

hi to all !


My name is Gladys Davidson .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2005 Mercedes-Benz Brabus CLS V12 S .
maybe someone can help to get something like this 2005 Mercedes-Benz Brabus CLS V12 S .









Thanx a lot

Gladys Davidson .


























Gladys Davidson .

Anonymous said...

hello !


my name is Leon Pearson .
I want to buy a nice 2007 Jaguar Arden XK .
please help to buy such a 2007 Jaguar Arden XK .









Thank you all

Leon Pearson .


























Leon Pearson .

Anonymous said...

good day !


My name is Kelly Bowman .
I want to buy a nice 2002 Alfa Romeo 147 GTA .
perhaps someone can help to buy 2002 Alfa Romeo 147 GTA .









Thank you all and a nice day

Kelly Bowman .


























Kelly Bowman .

Anonymous said...

hello !


my name is Calvin Diaz .
I want to buy a nice 2009 Mercedes-Benz SL 65 AMG Black Series .
perhaps someone can help to buy something like this 2009 Mercedes-Benz SL 65 AMG Black Series .









Thank you, just have a nice day

Calvin Diaz .


























Calvin Diaz .

Anonymous said...

Good Day !


My name is Dwight Monroe .
I want to buy a 2006 Ferrari 612 Scaglietti by Novitec .
maybe someone can help to get 2006 Ferrari 612 Scaglietti by Novitec .









Thank you and a nice day

Dwight Monroe .


























Dwight Monroe .

Anonymous said...

Hello !


my name is Leon Pearson .
I need help to buy a good looking 2009 Jaguar XF .
maybe someone can help to get such a 2009 Jaguar XF .









Thanx a lot

Leon Pearson .


























Leon Pearson .

Anonymous said...

Hi to all !


my name is Joann Stout .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2008 Audi S5 .
please help to get such a 2008 Audi S5 .









Thank you and a nice day

Joann Stout .


























Joann Stout .

Anonymous said...

Hi !


My name is Eugene Graham .
I want to buy a nice Ferrari 458 Italia .
perhaps someone can help to buy such a Ferrari 458 Italia .









Thank you all and a nice day

Eugene Graham .


























Eugene Graham .

Anonymous said...

hi to all !


my name is Don Sharpe .
I want to buy a 2011 Ford Shelby GT350 .
please help to get something like this 2011 Ford Shelby GT350 .









Thank you and a nice day

Don Sharpe .


























Don Sharpe .

Anonymous said...

hi, hello !


my name is Wayne Connolly .
I want to buy a nice 2007 Mercedes-Benz CLK 63 AMG .
maybe someone can help to get something like this 2007 Mercedes-Benz CLK 63 AMG .









Thanx a lot

Wayne Connolly .


























Wayne Connolly .

Anonymous said...

Hi, hello to all !


My name is Don Sharpe .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2003 Pagani Zonda Roadster .
perhaps someone can help to get 2003 Pagani Zonda Roadster .









Thank you all and a nice day

Don Sharpe .


























Don Sharpe .

Anonymous said...

Good Day !


My name is Pat Allen .
I want to buy a good looking 2005 Volkswagen EcoRacer Concept .
i hope someone can help to get something like this 2005 Volkswagen EcoRacer Concept .









Thank you and a nice day

Pat Allen .


























Pat Allen .

Anonymous said...

Good Day !


My name is Shirley Merritt .
I need help to buy a 2004 Volvo XC90 PUV Concept .
please help to buy 2004 Volvo XC90 PUV Concept .









Thank you and a nice day

Shirley Merritt .


























Shirley Merritt .

Anonymous said...

Hi, hello to all !


my name is Jason Cross .
I want to buy a nice 2009 Spyker C8 Laviolette LM85 .
i hope someone can help to get such a 2009 Spyker C8 Laviolette LM85 .









Thank you all

Jason Cross .


























Jason Cross .

Anonymous said...

Hi, hello !


my name is Shelley Weeks .
I want to buy a 2011 Cadillac CTS-V Coupe .
may someone can help to buy something like this 2011 Cadillac CTS-V Coupe .









Thank you

Shelley Weeks .


























Shelley Weeks .

Anonymous said...

Hi, hello !


my name is Allan Marsh .
I need help to buy a 2009 HAMANN Volcano .
i hope someone can help to get such a 2009 HAMANN Volcano .









Thank you and a nice day

Allan Marsh .


























Allan Marsh .

Anonymous said...

Hi, hello to all !


my name is Pat Allen .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2009 Mercedes-Benz SL63 AMG Edition IWC .
maybe someone can help to get something like this 2009 Mercedes-Benz SL63 AMG Edition IWC .









Thank you, just have a nice day

Pat Allen .


























Pat Allen .

Anonymous said...

good day !


My name is Beth Woodard .
I need help to buy a good looking 2007 BMW Z4 Roadster .
i hope someone can help to buy 2007 BMW Z4 Roadster .









Thank you and a nice day

Beth Woodard .


























Beth Woodard .

Anonymous said...

Hi, hello to all !


My name is Diana Moore .
I need help to buy a good looking 2004 MG GT Concept .
perhaps someone can help to get something like this 2004 MG GT Concept .









Thank you all and a nice day

Diana Moore .


























Diana Moore .

Anonymous said...

Good Day !


My name is Alex May .
I want to buy a 2009 Alfa Romeo 147 Ducati Corse .
may someone can help to buy such a 2009 Alfa Romeo 147 Ducati Corse .









Thank you all

Alex May .


























Alex May .

Anonymous said...

hi !


My name is Franklin Vick .
I want to buy a good looking 2005 Nissan Sport Concept .
i hope someone can help to get 2005 Nissan Sport Concept .









Thank you

Franklin Vick .


























Franklin Vick .

Anonymous said...

Hi, hello to all !


my name is Sherri Melton .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2009 Infiniti FX50 .
please help to get 2009 Infiniti FX50 .









Thank you

Sherri Melton .


























Sherri Melton .

Anonymous said...

Hi, hello !


my name is Marcia Walsh .
I want to buy a nice 2006 Lamborghini Gallardo SE .
perhaps someone can help to buy 2006 Lamborghini Gallardo SE .









Thank you, just have a nice day

Marcia Walsh .


























Marcia Walsh .

Anonymous said...

Hello !


My name is Patricia Mangum .
I want to buy a nice 2000 Ford SVT Mustang Cobra R .
please i need help to buy 2000 Ford SVT Mustang Cobra R .









Thank you all

Patricia Mangum .


























Patricia Mangum .

Anonymous said...

Good day to all !


My name is Dana McLean .
I need help to buy a good looking 2008 Mercedes-Benz SLR McLaren Roadster .
please i need help to get such a 2008 Mercedes-Benz SLR McLaren Roadster .









Thank you all and a nice day

Dana McLean .


























Dana McLean .

Anonymous said...

Hi to all !


my name is Don Sharpe .
I need help to buy a 2008 Chevrolet Racing Corvette C6.R E85 .
perhaps someone can help to get such a 2008 Chevrolet Racing Corvette C6.R E85 .









Thank you and a nice day

Don Sharpe .


























Don Sharpe .

Anonymous said...

Hello !


My name is Katherine Bender .
I need help to buy a good looking 2007 AT&T WilliamsF1 FW29 Formula 1 Car .
i hope someone can help to buy such a 2007 AT&T WilliamsF1 FW29 Formula 1 Car .









Thank you all

Katherine Bender .


























Katherine Bender .

Anonymous said...

Good Day !


My name is Katherine Bender .
I want to buy a 2011 BMW Z4 sDrive35is .
perhaps someone can help to get such a 2011 BMW Z4 sDrive35is .









Thank you, just have a nice day

Katherine Bender .


























Katherine Bender .

Anonymous said...

Hello !


My name is Erica Hall .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2010 Mercedes-Benz E-Class .
please help to get such a 2010 Mercedes-Benz E-Class .









Thank you, just have a nice day

Erica Hall .


























Erica Hall .

Anonymous said...

Good day to all !


My name is Caroline O'Brien .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2007 BMW Hamann Thunder .
please help to buy such a 2007 BMW Hamann Thunder .









Thank you all and a nice day

Caroline O'Brien .


























Caroline O'Brien .

Anonymous said...

Hello !


My name is Alison Scarborough .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2008 Mosler MT900 GTR XX .
please help to get something like this 2008 Mosler MT900 GTR XX .









Thank you all

Alison Scarborough .


























Alison Scarborough .

Anonymous said...

Good Day !


My name is Gretchen Hill .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2008 Honda Accord EX-L .
maybe someone can help to buy such a 2008 Honda Accord EX-L .









Thank you all

Gretchen Hill .


























Gretchen Hill .

Anonymous said...

hello !


my name is Beth Walton .
I need help to buy a 2009 Porsche Panamera .
i hope someone can help to buy something like this 2009 Porsche Panamera .









Thank you all and a nice day

Beth Walton .


























Beth Walton .

Anonymous said...

good day !


My name is Dwight Monroe .
I need help to buy a good looking 2007 Koenigsegg CCGT .
may someone can help to get such a 2007 Koenigsegg CCGT .









Thank you all and a nice day

Dwight Monroe .


























Dwight Monroe .

Anonymous said...

hi !


My name is Francis McNamara .
I need help to buy a Audi R8 TDI Le Mans Concept .
may someone can help to buy something like this Audi R8 TDI Le Mans Concept .









Thank you

Francis McNamara .


























Francis McNamara .

Anonymous said...

good day !


My name is Ethel Rodgers .
I need help to buy a 2005 Maybach Exelero .
please help to get something like this 2005 Maybach Exelero .









Thank you and a nice day

Ethel Rodgers .


























Ethel Rodgers .

Anonymous said...

hi !


My name is Beth Woodard .
I need help to buy a 2009 Mazda RX-8 .
maybe someone can help to buy something like this 2009 Mazda RX-8 .









Thank you, just have a nice day

Beth Woodard .


























Beth Woodard .

Anonymous said...

Hi !


My name is Karen Puckett .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2008 Nissan 350Z .
maybe someone can help to buy 2008 Nissan 350Z .









Thank you all and a nice day

Karen Puckett .


























Karen Puckett .

Anonymous said...

Hi, hello !


my name is Curtis Love .
I need help to buy a good looking 2006 Pontiac GTO .
may someone can help to buy something like this 2006 Pontiac GTO .









Thank you all

Curtis Love .


























Curtis Love .

Anonymous said...

Hello !


My name is Frederick Baker .
I need help to buy a nice good looking Aston Martin Racing Vantage GT4 .
may someone can help to buy such a Aston Martin Racing Vantage GT4 .









Thank you all and a nice day

Frederick Baker .


























Frederick Baker .

Anonymous said...

Hello !


My name is Gary Parks .
I need help to buy a 2003 Cadillac Sixteen Concept .
please help to buy something like this 2003 Cadillac Sixteen Concept .









Thank you all and a nice day

Gary Parks .


























Gary Parks .

Anonymous said...

Hello !


my name is Neal Middleton .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2007 BMW Hartge H50 V10 Coupe .
please help to buy something like this 2007 BMW Hartge H50 V10 Coupe .









Thank you all and a nice day

Neal Middleton .


























Neal Middleton .

Anonymous said...

Hi to all !


My name is Harvey Underwood .
I need help to buy a 2010 Porsche 911 GT3 RS .
i hope someone can help to buy such a 2010 Porsche 911 GT3 RS .









Thank you all

Harvey Underwood .


























Harvey Underwood .

Anonymous said...

hello !


My name is Gretchen Holmes .
I need help to buy a 2006 Mazda Kabura Concept .
perhaps someone can help to buy such a 2006 Mazda Kabura Concept .









Thank you

Gretchen Holmes .


























Gretchen Holmes .

Anonymous said...

Hi to all !


my name is Vickie Watkins .
I need help to buy a good looking 2009 Koenigsegg CCXR Edition .
i hope someone can help to get 2009 Koenigsegg CCXR Edition .









Thank you all and a nice day

Vickie Watkins .


























Vickie Watkins .

Anonymous said...

hi, hello !


my name is Mike Whitehead .
I want to buy a good looking 2004 Honda S2000 by A&L Racing .
i hope someone can help to get such a 2004 Honda S2000 by A&L Racing .









Thank you and a nice day

Mike Whitehead .


























Mike Whitehead .

Anonymous said...

hi !


My name is Kyle Watts .
I want to buy a nice 2004 Honda S2000 by A&L Racing .
perhaps someone can help to get such a 2004 Honda S2000 by A&L Racing .









Thank you and a nice day

Kyle Watts .


























Kyle Watts .

Anonymous said...

Hi to all !


my name is Arlene Case .
I want to buy a nice 2006 Land Rover Arden Range Rover Sport AR6 .
may someone can help to buy something like this 2006 Land Rover Arden Range Rover Sport AR6 .









Thank you

Arlene Case .


























Arlene Case .

Anonymous said...

hi !


my name is Dwight Monroe .
I want to buy a 2008 Subaru Impreza WRX STI .
please i need help to buy such a 2008 Subaru Impreza WRX STI .









Thank you, just have a nice day

Dwight Monroe .


























Dwight Monroe .

Anonymous said...

Hi !


my name is Darlene Barton .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2006 Jeep Grand Cherokee SRT8 .
maybe someone can help to get 2006 Jeep Grand Cherokee SRT8 .









Thank you

Darlene Barton .


























Darlene Barton .

Anonymous said...

Good day to all !


my name is Crystal Powers .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2010 Mercedes-Benz SLS AMG .
i hope someone can help to get such a 2010 Mercedes-Benz SLS AMG .









Thank you and a nice day

Crystal Powers .


























Crystal Powers .

Anonymous said...

good day !


My name is Gretchen Hill .
I want to buy a 2010 Lamborghini Murcielago LP670-4 Superveloce .
please i need help to get 2010 Lamborghini Murcielago LP670-4 Superveloce .









Thank you

Gretchen Hill .


























Gretchen Hill .

Anonymous said...

hello !


My name is Priscilla Wilkerson .
I need help to buy a 2011 BMW 5 Series .
i hope someone can help to buy something like this 2011 BMW 5 Series .









Thanx a lot

Priscilla Wilkerson .


























Priscilla Wilkerson .

Anonymous said...

Hello !


My name is Eric Steele .
I need help to buy a 2007 Audi RS 4 Cabriolet .
please i need help to get 2007 Audi RS 4 Cabriolet .









Thank you and a nice day

Eric Steele .


























Eric Steele .

Anonymous said...

hi !


my name is Jerome Johnston .
I need help to buy a good looking 2006 Peugeot 207 Super 2000 Race Car .
perhaps someone can help to buy such a 2006 Peugeot 207 Super 2000 Race Car .









Thank you

Jerome Johnston .


























Jerome Johnston .

Anonymous said...

Hi, hello to all !


my name is Donald Chung .
I want to buy a good looking 2006 Maserati GranSport MC Victory .
i hope someone can help to buy 2006 Maserati GranSport MC Victory .









Thank you all

Donald Chung .


























Donald Chung .

Anonymous said...

Good Day !


my name is Marcia Walsh .
I need help to buy a 2007 Hyundai Genesis Coupe Concept .
i hope someone can help to buy such a 2007 Hyundai Genesis Coupe Concept .









Thank you, just have a nice day

Marcia Walsh .


























Marcia Walsh .

Anonymous said...

Hi to all !


my name is Sherri Sutton .
I want to buy a nice Bugatti Veyron Fbg par Hermes .
i hope someone can help to buy Bugatti Veyron Fbg par Hermes .









Thank you and a nice day

Sherri Sutton .


























Sherri Sutton .

Anonymous said...

hi !


my name is Stacy Olsen .
I want to buy a nice 2008 Saab Turbo X .
please i need help to buy 2008 Saab Turbo X .









Thanx a lot

Stacy Olsen .


























Stacy Olsen .

Anonymous said...

Good day to all !


my name is Neal Middleton .
I need help to buy a 2009 Lamborghini Gallardo LP560-4 .
may someone can help to get something like this 2009 Lamborghini Gallardo LP560-4 .









Thanx a lot

Neal Middleton .


























Neal Middleton .

Anonymous said...

Good day to all !


my name is Tim Watts .
I need help to buy a 2007 Subaru Impreza WRX STI Limited .
please help to get such a 2007 Subaru Impreza WRX STI Limited .









Thanx a lot

Tim Watts .


























Tim Watts .

Anonymous said...

Hello !


my name is Julia Desai .
I need help to buy a 2009 Hyundai Genesis V8 .
maybe someone can help to buy such a 2009 Hyundai Genesis V8 .









Thank you all and a nice day

Julia Desai .


























Julia Desai .

Anonymous said...

Hello !


My name is Arlene Case .
I want to buy a nice 2006 Mercedes-Benz SLK 55 AMG Ultimate Experience Asia .
i hope someone can help to get something like this 2006 Mercedes-Benz SLK 55 AMG Ultimate Experience Asia .









Thanx a lot

Arlene Case .


























Arlene Case .

Anonymous said...

Hallo in unseren Sex-Talk.



Der Sex-Talk gibt ihnen eine Möglichkeit geile alte frauen und natürlich vieles mehr,wie erotische Rollenspiele
Hier in unsrem Sex-Talk erwarten dich geile alte frauen Flirt und Sextalk
Suchst du Aufregend chatten , sicher bist du hier genau richtig.Gut,auf was wartest du?
Aufregend chatten fkk treffen ,schnell anmelden .
Du suchst jemand von Luzern, vieleicht aus LudwigshafenamRhein, vieleicht von Essen , oder von Schwyz, oder AffolternamAlbis? Mit Sicherheit kein Problem.!

Anonymous said...

hi, hello !


my name is Shelley Weeks .
I want to buy a nice 2006 Toyota Corolla Compressor .
please i need help to buy something like this 2006 Toyota Corolla Compressor .









Thanx a lot

Shelley Weeks .


























Shelley Weeks .

Anonymous said...

Hi to all !


my name is Patrick Song .
I need help to buy a nice good looking 2004 Toyota Alessandro Volta Concept .
please help to get such a 2004 Toyota Alessandro Volta Concept .









Thank you and a nice day

Patrick Song .


























Patrick Song .

Anonymous said...

Willkommen und Hallo im Flirtchat.



Der Flirtchat gibt dir eine Alternative geile alte omas und jedemenge andere Sachen,wie sexuellen Vorlieben ausleben
Hier in unsrem Flirtchat findest du geile alte omas Live Dates
Eventuel suchst du Blind Date , mit Sicherheit bist du hier genau richtig.Also,auf was wartest du?
Live Dates heiße votzen ,sofort anmelden .
Du suchst jemand von Bern, oder Bochum, oder aus Wittenberg , vieleicht aus Zürich, oder aus SpittalanderDrau? Mit Sicherheit kein Problem.!

Anonymous said...

Herzlich Willkommen hier im Sex-Chat.



Der Sex-Chat gibt ihnen eine Alternative erotische nackte frauen und natürlich vieles mehr,unter anderem Flirt und Sextalk
Hier im Sex-Chat erwarten dich erotische nackte frauen sexuellen Vorlieben
Suchst du Live Dates , mit Sicherheit bist du hier genau richtig.Also,worauf wartest du?
Sexgeschichten nackte hausfrauen kostenlos ,schnell anmelden .
Du suchst jemand aus Lancy, oder in de, vieleicht von deutschland , vieleicht von Schwyz, oder aus Schwyz? Mit Sicherheit kein Problem.!

Anonymous said...

Willkommen in unseren Sextalk.



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Good day to all !


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Anonymous said...

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Anonymous said...

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Anonymous said...

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Anonymous said...

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Anonymous said...

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My name is Stacy Eason .
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Anonymous said...

Good Day !


my name is Keith Chandler .
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Keith Chandler .


























Keith Chandler .

Anonymous said...

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my name is Claire Gallagher .
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Anonymous said...

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Anonymous said...

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my name is Caroline O'Brien .
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Anonymous said...

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Anonymous said...

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Anonymous said...

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Anonymous said...

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Anonymous said...

Hi to all !


My name is Caroline O'Brien .
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Anonymous said...

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Franklin Vick .

Anonymous said...

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Anonymous said...

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Anonymous said...

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Luis Hinton .

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